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Starting in the mid 1980s, the level and volatility of inflation decreased across industrial countries. The inflation stabilization can be explained by a shift in monetary policy or by a lucky period of low volatility in business cycle shocks. To test the "good luck hypothesis", we examine the...
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We study disinflations under imperfect credibility of the central bank. Imperfect credibility is modeled as the extent … to which agents rely on adaptive learning to form expectations. Lower credibility increases the mean, variance, and … skewness of the distribution of sacrifice ratios. When credibility is low, disinflationary policies become very costly for …
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We study disinflations under imperfect credibility of the central bank. Imperfect credibility is modeled as the extent … to which agents rely on adaptive learning to form expectations. Lower credibility increases the mean, variance, and … skewness of the distribution of sacrifice ratios. When credibility is low, disinflationary policies become very costly for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015268
citizens in January 2019 that is designed to measure long-term inflation expectations and the credibility of the inflation … target. Our results indicate that credibility has decreased in our sample period, particularly in the course of the deep … several years, credibility has declined mainly because Germans increasingly expect that inflation will be much higher than 2 …
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