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The asset pricing Euler equation identifies latent components of time-varying expected returns when conditioned on a Markov state. Using data from the Fama and French three- and five- factor models and momentum (UMD), we show a single statistic constructed from the latent expected return...
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that cash-flow hedging and capital investment by firms affects their future stock return distribution. Hedging by firms … investment counteracts these effects. Using hand-collected hedging data from energy-related firms, we find empirical results … consistent with the theoretical predictions. The pull-to-normality effect of hedging is stronger among firms with small size …
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