Using a newly available panel data set containing property-specific, time-varying hedonic characteristics and sales prices, we develop a new dynamic house-price model that is suitable for out-of-sample forecasting applications such as mortgage valuation and bank stress-testing. The model is set...

For many interest rate exotic options, for example options on the slope of the yield curve or American featured options, a one factor assumption for term structure evolution is inappropriate. These options derive their value from changes in the slope or curvature of the yield curve and hence are...

In this paper we develop a single-factor modeling framework which is consistent with market observable forward prices and volatilities. The model is a special case of the multi-factor model developed in Clewlow and Strickland [1999b] and leads to analytical pricing formula for standard options,...

This study intends to find out whether or not the Nikkei 225 evolves over time in accordance with the following four widely used processes for determining stock prices: random walk with a drift, AR(1), GARCH(1,1), and GARCH(1,1)-M. Given the fact that, in actuality, we have but one sample of...

This paper first designs an efficient procedure to value Credit Default Swap Index tranches using an intensity-based model. The tranche spreads are effectively explained by a three-factor version of this model, both before and during the financial crisis of 2008. We then construct tradable...

We develop and estimate a Q-Theory style dynamic model of the firm's liquidity reserve and capital structure. The model features financial constraints, finite maturity debt, and growth limited by convex costs. We apply the model to obtain the following: 1. We suggest a resolution of the puzzle,...

We build a simple dynamic structural model of the firm, with state variable being earnings. It can address general empirical levels of investment, dividends, equity issuance in distress, leverage, debt duration, and liquidation/bankruptcy. Firms with very low leverage carry a substantial...