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intratemporal relative price such as the terms of trade and possibly an intertemporal price such as the world interest rate. This … paper presents an empirical framework in which multiple commodity prices and the world interest rate transmit world … disturbances. Estimates on a panel of 138 countries over the period 1960-2015 indicate that world shocks explain on average 33 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455847
We revisit the issue of fiscal procyclicality in commodity-rich nations -commodity republics in the nomenclature of this paper. Since commodity prices are plausibly a main driver of fiscal policy outcomes in these countries, we focus on the behavior of fiscal variables across the commodity...
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This paper studies commodity price cycles and their underlying drivers using a dynamic factor model. The study employs a sample of 39 monthly commodity prices over 1970:01 to 2019:12. The analysis identifies global and group-specific cycles in commodity markets and includes them in a structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014580007
are associated with lower spreads between the country's borrowing rate and world interest rates. Both effects jointly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012949405
copper markets due to oligopolistic market structures. World output- driven demand shocks have persistent, positive effects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014039217
This paper provides an interesting overview of the commodities market, considering three relevant attributes: predictability, similarity, and efficiency. Therefore, we examine the monthly spot and futures prices time series for 22 commodities from January 1984 until January 2022 with 457...
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