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Germany and the US. Based on the estimated short-rate dynamics we derive the implied arbitrage-free term structure of interest …
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Monetary analysis requires the introduction of monetary variables into the determination of the equilibrium values of real variables such as production, income, distribution, and accumulation. Contrary to Keynes’s research program of a „monetary theory of production”, neither the older...
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We reexamine the expectations theory of the term structure focusing on the question how monetary policy actions indicated by changes in the very short rate affect long-term interest rates. Our main point is that the expectations hypothesis implies that very long rates should only react to...
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with the expected sign in each of the equations. Our estimation results imply, both for the US and for Germany, that the … behavioural equations for the US and Germany in the period 1960-2007, we find significant and robust effects of interest payments …
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