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Measuring the accuracy of population projections: An application of exploratory data analysis

Pflaumer, Peter - 1993

The accuracy of U.N. population projections is examined. The goal is to measure the amount of uncertainty associated with past projections of the United Nations in order to provide a reaiistic measure of the uncertainty in the projection that the U.N. makes in the future. Various descriptive...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010398001

Data-driven optimal decomposition of time series

Heiler, Siegfried; Feng, Yuanhua - 1995

A data-driven optimal decomposition of time series with trend-cyclical and seasonal components as well as the estimation of derivatives of the trend-cyclical is considered. The time series is smoothed by locally weighted regression with polynomials and trigonometric functions as local...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010398003

Cooperation among primary exporters: A theoretical framework

Marjit, Sugata - 1994

We study the possibility of cartel formation among primary exporters who face an inelastic world demand for their exports. By constructing an appropriate infinitely repeated export game, we show that varying country sizes will pose difficulties in sustaining the collusive behaviour.

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010398004

The asset market view on flexible exchange rates: A critical comment

Tivig, Thusnelda - 1987

The more recent asset market literature on flexible exchange rates seems to share the opinion that it is not possible to treat the stock-flow interaction on the adjustment path to a new long-run equilibrium adequately in continuous time. The present paper discloses some severe inconsistencies...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010398010

Income transfers to LDC's under asymmetric information: A two country model

Thomas, Jonathan P.; Worrall, Timothy - 1987

We consider the problem of stabilising the income of a country, henceforth the borrower, which would always prefer a stable income to a random income with the same average, i.e. a country which is risk-averse. This would be appropriate for countries which are heavily reliant upon agricultural...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010398016

Ökonometrische Modelle mit raumstruktureller Autokorrelation: Eine kurze Einführung

Klotz, Stefan - 1997

Querschnittsdaten aus benachbarten Raumgebieten, wie in der Regionalökonomie verwendet, weisen neben Heteroskedastie oft auch gegenseitige Abhängigkeiten auf. Die wechselseitige Beeinflussung wird in der raumstrukturellen Ökonometrie (Spatial Econometrics) meist explizit durch Autokorrelation...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010398020

Causes and effects of financing constraints at the firm level: Some microeconometric evidence

Winker, Peter - 1996

Asymmetric information between lender and borrower is made responsible for financing constraints at the firm level which may influence real activity. In this paper a standard model of credit rationing due to adverse selection and adverse incentive effects is used to derive hypotheses on causes...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010398027

Ein entscheidungstheoretischer Erklärungsansatz für das Phänomen "temporäre vs. permanente Migration" bei internationalen Migrationen

Seifert-Vogt, Hans G. - 1988

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010398029

Nichtparametrische Schätzung bedingter Quantile in Finanzmarktdaten

Abberger, Klaus - 1994

In der Literatur wurden verschiedene parametrische Modelle zur Analyse der Heteroskedastie in Zeitreihen von Finanzmarktdaten entwickelt. Eine Möglichkeit, die bedingte Volatilität nichtparametrisch zu erfassen, ist die Kernschätzung von bedingten Quantilen. In diesem Aufsatz werden einige...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010398032

The three faces of factor intensities

Beladi, Hamid; Jones, Ronald Winthrop; Marjit, Sugata - 1995

The concept of factor intensity has played a key role in the development of international trade theory. The factor …. Furthermore, in explaining this position recourse is had to various characteristics of technology and trade which have been in the … forefront of recent developments in trade theory, e.g., quality differences in an intra-industry setting, increasing returns to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010398033