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Welfare recipiency, job separation outcomes, and postseparation earnings: insight from linked personnel and state administrative data

Gunderson, Jill Marie; Hotchkiss, Julie L. - 2006

This paper uses a unique personnel data set and state administrative data to follow welfare and nonwelfare hires who separate from similar jobs with the same firm. Welfare hires are more likely to separate from their job and are more likely to be on welfare after separation compared with...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397649

Shocks and government beliefs: the rise and fall of American inflation

Sargent, Thomas; Williams, Noah; Zha, Tao - 2004

The authors use a Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm to estimate a model that allows temporary gaps between a true expectational Phillips curve and the monetary authority’s approximating nonexpectational Phillips curve. A dynamic programming problem implies that the monetary...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397653

The impact of 9/11 on hours of work in the United States

Hotchkiss, Julie L.; Pavlova, Olga - 2004

The purpose of this paper is to determine whether workers’ commitment to the labor force declined after 9/11, as many popular press accounts at the time suggested it would. The results indicate that any measured decline in hours spent working was the result of economic conditions rather than...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397663

The "risk-adjusted" price-concentration relationship in banking

Elijah Brewer, III; William E. Jackson, III - 2004

their analysis bank-specific risk variables as measures of cross-sectional derived deposit demand. The authors find that … when bank-specific risk variables are included in the analysis the magnitude of the relationship between deposit rates and … between a bank’s risk profile and the structure of the market in which it operates. These results suggest that it may be …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397667

Land prices and unemployment

Liu, Zheng; Miao, Jianjun; Zha, Tao - 2013

estimation indicates that a 10 percent drop in the land price leads to a 0.34 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397671

What causes banking crises? An empirical investigation for the world economy

Le, Vo Phuong Mai; Meenagh, David; Minford, Patrick; … - 2013

We add the Bernanke-Gertler-Gilchrist model to a world model consisting of the US, the Eurozone and the Rest of the World in order to explore the causes of the banking crisis. We test the model against linear-detrended data and reestimate it by indirect inference; the resulting model passes the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397719

Banking and the macroeconomy in China: A banking crisis deferred?

Le, Vo Phuong Mai; Matthews, Kent; Meenagh, David; … - 2013

. However, directed bank lending and direct government spending was used to supplement monetary policy to aggressively offset …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397727

Explaining reallocation's apparent negative contribution to growth

Nishida, Mitsukuni; Petrin, Amil; Polanec, Sašo - 2011

We explain a puzzle from two recent meta-analyses that cover 25 countries and claim to show that inputs systematically move from higher-value to lower-value activities despite strong aggregate labor productivity growth (ALP). These papers use variants of the Baily, Hulten and Campbell (1992)...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397786

Nichtparametrische Quantilsprognose und ihre Anwendung auf Aktienrenditen

Abberger, Klaus - 1995

In diesem Aufsatz wird die nichtparametrische Autoregression auf die Prognose von Quantilen angewendet. Verfahren der Kernregression werden benutzt, um zu autoregressiven Quantiisschätzern zu gelangen. Da die üblichen Maße zur Beurteilung der Prognose, wie etwa der mittlere quadratische...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397885

MESC (Marginal Effective Statutory Charge), an extension of King-Fullerton methodology

Gérard, Marcel; Beauchot, Laurence; Jamaels, Sylvie; … - 1997

The purpose of this paper is twofold. On the one hand it aims at extending King-Fullerton methodology to a larger scope of liabilities and primarily, in the empirical section of the paper, to statutory charges associated to labour costs, basically employers' contributions to social security....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010398078