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Analysts are accustomed to using prices for the information they contain. A stock price, for example, can be thought of as an expected value of future cash flows. Each futures price and option price tells the analyst a bit more about the probability distribution under which those expectations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009471745
The volatility smile changed drastically around the crash of 1987 and new option pricing models have been proposed in order to accommodate that change. Deterministic volatility models allow for more flexible volatility surfaces but refrain from introducing additional risk-factors. Thus, options...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009471824
We document widespread violations of stochastic dominance by one-month S&P 500 index call options market over 1986-2006. These violations imply that a trader can improve her expected utility by engaging in a zero-net-cost trade. We allow the market to be incomplete and also imperfect by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009471825
This article derives underlying asset risk-neutral probability distributions of European options on the S&P 500 index. Nonparametric methods are used to choose probabilities that minimize an objective function subject to requiring that the probabilities are consistent with observed option and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009471826
Numerous hedge funds stop reporting to commercial databases each year. An issue for hedgefund performance estimation is: what delisting return to attribute to such funds? This would be particularly problematic if delisting returns are typically very different from continuing funds' returns. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266918
American call and put options on the S&P 500 index futures that violate the stochastic dominance bounds of Constantinides and Perrakis (2007) over 1983-2006 are identified as potentially profitable investment opportunities. Call bid prices more frequently violate their upper bound than put bid...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266920
This paper investigates dynamically optimal risk-taking by an expected-utility maximizing manager of a hedge fund. We examine the effects of variations on a compensation structure that includes a percentage management fee, a performance incentive for exceeding a specified highwater mark, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266924
We document widespread violations of stochastic dominance in the one-month S&P 500 index options market over the period 1986-2002. These violations imply that a trader can improve her expected utility by engaging in a zero-net-cost trade. We allow the market to be incomplete and also imperfect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266937
We model a firm's value process controlled by a manager maximizing expected utility from restricted shares and employee stock options. The manager also dynamically controls allocation of his outside wealth. We explore interactions between those controls as he partially hedges his exposure to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266943
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266945