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risk. An adverse supply shock leads to a deterioration of firms' riskiness 10 per cent above the average PD. Contractionary …
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We study how credit supply shocks in the US, the euro area and Japan are transmitted to other economies. We use the recently-developed GVAR approach to model financial variables jointly with macroeconomic variables in 33 countries for the period 1983-2009. We experiment with inter-country links...
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