In this article, we focus on the ability of two financial variables—the yield curve spread and the euro–US dollar exchange rate—to predict French recessions over the period 1979–2010. First, we propose a turning point chronology for the French business cycle based on a classical...

Alors que l’utilité de l’instauration d’une taxe Tobin fait l’objet de débats intenses, les travaux scientifiques qui y sont consacrés sont globalement méconnus. Le présent article en rend compte en se focalisant sur ceux d’entre eux qui font usage de la théorie des jeux er de...

This book analyzes the development of economic cycles in the run of history. The focus is on the development of cycle theory, with maximum emphasis upon ideas. Chapter 1 delivers an overview of the debate about cycles before the 1970s. Chapter 2 completes this survey by presenting the main...