As applied to the behavior of homeowners with mortgages, option theory predicts that mortgage prepayment or default will be exercised if the call or put option in "in the money" by some specific amount. Our analysis: tests the extent to which the option approach can explain default and...

ERES:conference

We examine house price co-movements within and cross four major economic blocks: North America, Europe, Oceania and the Far East. The purpose of this study is to establish: (1) Whether there was increased house price correlation within a given economic block or across different blocks in the...

It has been widely assumed that there was a bubble in the U.S. housing market after 1999. This paper analyzes the extent to which that was true. We define a bubble as: (1) a regime shift that is characterized by a change in the properties of deviations from the fundamentals of house price...