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Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle

Dovern, Jonas; Jannsen, Nils - 2015

relationship between a change in trend growth rates and forecast bias, as suggested in the literature, breaks down when only …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486869

On the rationality and efficiency of inflation forecasts : evidence from advanced and emerging market economies

Jalles, João Tovar - In: Research in international business and finance 40 (2017), pp. 175-189

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011912760

Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle

Dovern, Jonas; Jannsen, Nils - In: International journal of forecasting 33 (2017) 4, pp. 760-769

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011746905

Inflation forecasts' performance in Latin America

Jalles, João Tovar - In: Review of development finance 7 (2017) 2, pp. 157-168

This paper provides a full characterization of inflation rate forecasts using the mean values from Consensus Economics for a sample of 14 Latin American countries between 1989 and 2014. It also assesses the performance of inflation rate forecasts around business cycles' turning points. Results...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011779567

Le pouvoir de prévision des indices PMI

Godbout, Claudia; Jacob, Jocelyn - 2010

The forecast of world economic growth plays a key role in the conduct of Canadian monetary policy. In this context, the authors study the usefulness of the monthly Purchasing Managers’ Indexes (PMIs) in predicting short-term real GDP growth in the euro area, Japan, the United Kingdom, and...