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This document describes the structure of the CMCC Seasonal Prediction System (hereafter CMCC-SPS) developed at CMCC, the various initialization methods and the experiments performed with the most recent version. The CMCC-SPS has been used to perform the CliPAS (Climate Prediction and its...
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Previous research finds that, owing to the representativeness heuristic bias, earnings seasonal rank negatively predicts stock returns surrounding earnings announcements (EAs) in China’s A-share markets. We examine whether management earnings forecasts (MEFs) help alleviate the stock return...
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We examine whether management earnings forecasts (MEFs) help reduce the stock return seasonality associated with earnings seasonality around earnings announcements (EAs) in Chinese A-share markets. We find that firms in historically low earnings seasons outperform firms in high earnings seasons...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014281517
Electricity price forecasting has become an area of increasing relevance in recent years. Despite the growing interest in predictive algorithms, the challenges are difficult to overcome given the restricted access to relevant data series and the lack of accurate metrics. Multiple models have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014464238
Previous research finds that historical seasonal earnings rank negatively predicts stock returns surrounding earnings announcements (EAs) in China’s A-share markets. We examine whether management earnings forecasts (MEFs) help reduce the stock return seasonality associated with earnings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255146
This study develops a comparative analysis of the trends of main indicators of Coronavirus disease 2019 in 2020 and 2021in Italy. The findings suggest that the temporal dynamics of COVID-19 is affected by seasonality generating a reduction of effects in summer season similar to influenza....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014259763
be provided by wheat yield forecast systems, supporting the decision-making of farmers, food traders, or policymakers. In … this study, we improved a previously developed statistical wheat yield model to forecast trend-corrected wheat yield in …, NCEP, and CLIMATE respectively. Seasonal climate models can be useful tools to forecast national wheat yield, even shortly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014261460