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Density forecasts have become quite important in economics and finance. For example, such forecasts play a central role in modern financial risk management techniques like Value at Risk. This paper suggests a regression based density forecast evaluation framework as a simple alternative to other...
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risky assets. The daily stock returns at Macedonian Stock Exchange (MSE) are characterized by high volatility and non …-Gaussian behaviors as well as they are extremely leptokurtic. The analysis of MSE time series stock returns determine volatility …
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