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apply extreme value theory (EVT) distributions to predict extreme losses of five South African (SA) financial times stock …
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We study the tail distributions of multi-day index returns across a variety of asset classes. Fitting power laws to the tail distributions, we find tail indices in the range [2-4] for all underlyings, for returns up to 250 days. We also find that the power laws can not be statistically ruled out...
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(MRS-MNTS-GARCH) to accommodate fat tails, volatility clustering and regime switch. The volatility of each asset …
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