We survey 1,050 CFOs in the U.S., Europe, and Asia to assess whether their firms are credit constrained during the global credit crisis of 2008. We study whether corporate spending plans differ conditional on this measure of financial constraint. Our evidence indicates that constrained firms...

Over the last decade, the green shoots of a new economic order have appeared as decentralized technologies emerge to challenge traditional financial systems. Decentralized finance (DeFi) offers transparency, interoperability, security, low costs, and equal accessibility---all lacking in the...

We propose a novel theory that brings to light three fundamental performance drivers of zero-cost systematic investment strategies: (1) high (positive) own-asset signal-return predictability; (2) low (or negative) cross-asset signal correlation; and (3) low (or negative) cross-asset...

The increasingly service-based U.S. economy places a high reliance on innovation. While there is considerable research on the importance of certain innovative activities such as patents, less attention has been paid to unpatented innovation, about which there is naturally less publicly available...

We document and quantify the negative impact of trend breaks (i.e., turning points in the trajectory of asset prices) on the performance of standard monthly trend-following strategies across several assets and asset classes. In the years of the U.S. economy’s expansion following the global...

We provide practical insights for investors seeking exposure to the growing cryptocurrency space. Today, crypto is much more than just bitcoin, which historically dominated the space but accounted for just a 21% share of total crypto trading volume in 2021. We discuss a wide variety of tokens,...

In March 2021, Campbell Harvey spoke with members of the Journal of Investment Consulting editorial advisory board about quantitative investment strategies. Taking part in the discussion were Inna Okounkova, Columbia University and editor-in-chief of the Journal; Mark J. P. Anson, The Commonfund;...

We analyze the history of the equity risk premium from surveys of U.S. Chief Financial Officers (CFOs) conducted every quarter from June 2000 to March 2012. The risk premium is the expected 10-year S&P 500 return relative to a 10-year U.S. Treasury bond yield. While the risk premium sharply...

Contagion is usually defined as correlation between markets in excess of that implied by economic fundamentals; however, there is considerable disagreement regarding the definition of the fundamentals, how they might differ across countries, and the mechanisms that link them to asset returns....