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In this paper, I develop an Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) measure for Colombia based on news coverage, as the one presented in Baker, Bloom, and Davis (2016). This index is the result of the analysis of 10, 113 news articles from the period between January 1994 and December 2016. Additional...
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We study the effect of COVID-19 containment measures on expected stock price volatility in some advanced economies …-month-ahead volatility indices dropped following announcements of initial or re-imposed lockdowns, and that they did not drop significantly … following the easing of lockdowns. Such patterns are not as strong for three-month-ahead expected volatility and generally …
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In this study, we examine stock market shocks using a Global Vector Autoregressive (GVAR) model encompassing 26 countries from January 1999 to June 2022. Our findings reveal that i) shocks originating from advanced economies (AD) exhibit greater persistence in generating fluctuations compared to...
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Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) is a critical indicator in economic studies, while it can be used to forecast a recession. Under higher levels of uncertainty, firms’ owners cut their investment, which leads to a longer post-recession recovery. EPU index is computed by counting news articles...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227656
Purpose: This paper examines the associative and causal relationship between changes in the implied volatility index …, irrespective of the bear and bull market cycles. We also find that this relation is asymmetric in nature i.e. volatility spikes are … to market movements as per the "volatility feedback hypothesis" holding during bear periods only in developed countries …
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