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employment recoveries relative to output since 1990, using a DSGE model. Empirically, I document the underexplored pro … quasi-fixed employment costs at recoveries; (2) tight financial conditions have also persisted longer into recent recoveries …. The model generates 3-to-7-quarter delays in employment recoveries for the post-1990 period but no delay for before …
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Is healthcare employment recession proof? We examine the hypothesis that healthcare employment is stable across the … employment responds to recessions, and show that this response depends largely on the type of the exogenous shock triggering the … recession. We find that healthcare employment responds procyclically to demand-induced recessions; and the reduction is driven …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938768
This paper explores evidence for positive hysteresis in the labor market. Using data from the National Longitudinal Surveys of Youth, we find that negative labor market outcomes during high unemployment periods are mitigated by exposure to a high-pressure economy during the preceding expansion....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852979
This paper applies time series analysis to distinguish between cyclical and demographic causes of the decline of the labor force participation rate. Some public discussions suggest that the decline of US unemployment from its 2009 peak of 10 percent to about 6 percent by mid-2014 grossly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049840
This paper explores the evidence for positive hysteresis in the labor market. Using data from the National Longitudinal Surveys of Youth, we find that negative labor market outcomes during high unemployment periods are mitigated by exposure to a high-pressure economy during the preceding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012924924
The purpose of this paper is to explore the microfoundations of the observed asymmetric movement in aggregate unemployment rates. Using U.S. data, we find that individual labor force participation responds asymmetrically to changes in local labor market conditions, consistent with the pattern of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012709676
In this paper, we provide compelling evidence that cyclical factors account for the bulk of the post-2007 decline in the U.S. labor force participation rate. We then proceed to formulate a stylized New Keynesian model in which labor force participation is essentially acyclical during “normal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012667415