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In the aftermath of the global financial crisis, the state of macroeconomicmodeling and the use of macroeconomic models in policy analysis has come under heavy criticism. Macroeconomists in academia and policy institutions have been blamed for relying too much on a particular class of...
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model averaging in policy design. Interestingly, a simple difference rule with the same coefficients on inflation and output …
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Under the Basel II regulatory framework non-negligible statistical problems arise when backtesting risk measures. In …. According to Escanciano and Olmo (2010, 2011) these problems persist when incorporating estimation and model risk by adjusting … adequacy of Value at Risk measures. One main finding indicates that backtests of all classes show heavy size distortions. These …
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Despite well-known shortcomings as a risk measure, Value-at-Risk (VaR) is still the industry and regulatory standard … for the calculation of risk capital in banking and insurance. This paper is concerned with the numerical estimation of the …
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