We model aggregate credit losses on large portfolios of financial positions contracted with firms subject to both cyclical default correlation and direct default contagion processes. Cyclical correlation is due to the dependence of firms on common (macro-) economic factors; credit contagion...

In dieser Dissertation untersuchen wir die Terminstruktur der Kreditspreads auf Unternehmensanleihen bei korrelierten Unternehmensausfällen und asymmetrischer Information. Ausfallabhängigkeiten haben eine Reihe von Ursachen. Emittenten können durch direkte Beziehungen wie...

We provide a framework for the analysis of term structures of credit spreads on corporate bonds in the presence of informational asymmetries. While bond investors observe default incidents, we suppose that they have incomplete information on the firm's assets and/or the threshold asset level at...

We propose a model of correlated multi-firm default with incomplete information. While public bond investors observe issuers' assets and defaults, we suppose that they are not informed about the threshold asset level at which a firm is liquidated. Bond investors form instead a prior on these...

A thorough understanding of the joint default behavior of credit-risky securities is essential for credit risk measurement as well as the valuation of multi-name credit derivatives and Collateralized Debt Obligations. In this paper we study a simple and tractable intensity-based model for...