This paper empirically investigates the relationship between the speed of buildup of private debt (household and … basis of how quickly their private debt builds up. In addition to output recessions, we look at consumption and investment … corporate debt is especially damaging for emerging markets during financial recessions. A higher ratio of debt to gross domestic …

In this paper we empirically explore the relationship between debt and output in a panel of 72 countries over the … predicted by a standard small open economy model by Aguiar and Gopinath (2007), where debt and output endogenously respond to … total factor productivity (TFP) shocks. First, developing countries' debt falls after a positive output shock, while the …