Showing 11 - 20 of 347,777
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011540476
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002216504
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001985899
The U.S. economy is characterized by large, longer term regime shifts in asset values relative to macroeconomic fundamentals. These movements coincide with shifts in the real federal funds rate in excess of a measure of the natural rate of interest, and in equity market return premia. We specify...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984111
This paper elucidates the influence of stock market volatility on U.S. consumption using pooled mean group (PMG …) estimation of 46 states over the period from 1998 to 2017. The findings confirm that the PMG estimates of the effect of stock … market volatility on consumption are robust to the lag order, lag selection criteria, and outliers compared with the mean …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012661246
We document large, longer-term, joint regime shifts in asset valuations and the real federal funds rate-r* spread. To interpret these findings, we estimate a novel macro-finance model of monetary transmission and find that the documented regimes coincide with shifts in the parameters of a policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013234115
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011862029
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011739466
We find evidence of infrequent shifts, or "regimes," in the mean of the asset valuation variable <i>cay<sub>t</sub></i> that are strongly associated with low-frequency fluctuations in the real federal funds rate, with low policy rates associated with high asset valuations, and vice versa. There is no evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456107