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We develop likelihood-based tests for autocorrelation and predictability in a first order non-Gaussian and …. Therefore, in addition to autocorrelation the proposed tests can also be used to test for nonlinear predictability. This makes …
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With the recent availability of high-frequency Financial data the long range dependence of volatility regained researchers' interest and has lead to the consideration of long memory models for realized volatility. The long range diagnosis of volatility, however, is usually stated for long sample...
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time-varying thresholds and simple estimation via least squares. We show via Monte Carlo simulations that the MAT-HAR has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848474
In this paper, we apply machine learning to forecast the conditional variance of long-term stock returns measured in excess of different benchmarks, considering the short- and long-term interest rate, the earnings-by-price ratio, and the inflation rate. In particular, we apply in a two-step...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012127861
short- and long-range dependence. An iterative data-driven algorithm combines MLE and kernel estimation. Predictions combine …
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