In contrast to the recently decreasing unemployment rates in the EU, long-term unemployment remains at alarming levels … standard measures of long-term unemployment and alternative measures of long-term non-employment. Next, we take a closer look …

Unemployment is notoriously difficult to predict. In previous studies, once country and year fixed effects are added to … panel estimates, few variables predict changes in unemployment rates. Using panel data for 29 European countries collected … just over 10000 observations, we predict changes in the unemployment rate 12 months ahead. We do so using individuals …