In this paper we contrast a number of univariate models of Canadian GDP. Our preferred models are used to provide a business cycle chronology for Canada, which is compared with some existing, more judgmentally determined chronologies. We find that a simple, 'two quarters of negative growth' rule...

Analysis of a combined cross-sectional/time-series sample of records of the activities of patrol officers, reports of breaches of fisheries regulations, and associated court records in Queensland lends support to the hypothesis that economic factors are important in determining crime rates. An...

We address the question of whether asymmetry in the business cycle and asymmetry in the persistence of negative versus positive shocks characterises Australian output growth. Using nonlinear time series models we provide some evidence consistent with the idea that Australian output growth is...

Books reviewed in this article: Ian Watson, John Buchanan, Iain Campbell and Chris Briggs (eds), Fragmented Futures: New Challenges in Working Life Barbara Pocock (ed.), The Work/Life Collision: What Work is Doing to Australians and What to Do About It Siobhan Austen (ed.), Culture and the...

In this paper we contrast a number of univariate models of Canadian GDP. Our preferred models are used to provide a business cycle chronology for Canada, which is compared with some existing, more judgmentally determined chronologies. We find that a simple, "two quarters of negative growth" rule...