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The evaluation of interventions such as active labor market policies or medical programs by means of a randomized controlled trial is often considered the gold standard. However, randomized experiments might face severe shortcomings especially if performed at the group level. One such problem is...
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We investigate changes in the time series characteristics of postwar U.S. inflation. In a model-based analysis the conditional mean of inflation is specified by a long memory autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average process and the conditional variance is modelled by a stochastic...
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importance sampling or the independence chain Metropolis-Hastings algorithm for posterior analysis. A comparative analysis is … appropriately yet quickly tuned candidate, straightforward importance sampling provides the most efficient estimator of the marginal …
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