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<heading id="h1" level="1" implicit="yes" format="display">Abstract</heading>We examine the economic benefits of using realized volatility to forecast future implied volatility for pricing, trading, and hedging in the S&P 500 index options market. We propose an encompassing regression approach to forecast future implied volatility, and hence future option prices,...
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GARCH-jump models of metal price returns, while allowing for sudden movements (jumps), apply the same specification of the jump component in both 'bear'and 'bull' markets. As a result, the more frequent but relatively small jumps that occur in both bear and bull markets dominate the...
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This work endeavors to study the long-range dependence of the international diamond market. The results from the modified R/S statistic suggest that diamond returns do not have long memory, while strong evidence is found for long memory in diamond volatilities.
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This paper examines the determinants of exchange rate regime of a country. A competing risks model (CRM) is estimated. It is found that the way a country exits a fixed exchange rate regime is affected nonlinearly by the duration of the peg. In addition, countries with a lower growth rate of...
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This paper explores the effects of price limits on the stock market of China during global market turmoils. The characteristics of stocks that hit the price limits more frequently under market turmoil are investigated. It is found that the price limit system increases volatility significantly...
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