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Using a new database of consumers expectations, this paper examines the nature of house price forecasts across a select sample of European Union (EU) member states for the period 2020 to 2024. Across many EU countries, post Covid-19, house price increases have been apparent. Therefore,...
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subjective beliefs on the distribution of returns. However, the bias of these endogenous subjective beliefs induces the choice of …
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subjective beliefs on the distribution of returns. However, the bias of these endogenous subjective beliefs induces the choice of …
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closely match empirical data on asset pricing and firm behavior. The estimated bias parameters are well-identified and exhibit … plausible magnitudes. Alternative models without either bias or with efficient investment fail to match observed return …
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when we control for firm and analyst characteristics, or for other biases such as the 52-week high bias, the preference for … more optimistic after stock splits. Overall, our results suggest that a deeply-rooted behavioral bias in number processing …
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