Two years and more have passed since the outbreak of the East Asian Financial crisis in 1997. Although international economic and financial conditions deteriorated somewhat in the wake of the crisis, the world economy escaped a “global slump.” Using an intertemporal general equilibrium model...

Global growth has decelerated over the course of the year under the impact of high energy prices and great uncertainty. Monetary policy, which is being tightened very quickly in view of high inflationary pressure across the board, is now also putting a drag on economic activity. Overall,...