Using a panel of India's registered manufacturing firms and both economy-wide and firm-level financial data, we investigate the effects of India's financial liberalization on the productivity of its manufacturing sector in the 1990s and 2000s. Our dynamic panel analysis shows that the series of...

This paper investigates the claim that China's exchange rate policy causes the US trade deficit with China to grow. Although there is no evidence that changes in the exchange rate cause the trade deficit to rise in the short run, a statistically significant long-run relationship between the...

Although conventional wisdom suggests that export growth contributes positively to economic growth, empirical studies on the causal links between exports and output have provided little support for the exported growth hypothesis. The paper reexamines the direction of causation by handling...

Economic theory suggests that export growth promotes economic growth. Yet empirical research has not found clear support for the export-led growth hypothesis, even for the newly industrialized economies where the theory should be most applicable. This paper provides an explanation for the...

A VAR approach is used to analyze the effects of export growth on the evolution of GDP, domestic employment, and investment in 39 economies. The results strongly support the export-led growth hypothesis. Export growth affects GDP growth positively in 30 countries. In six countries, all of them...