The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the performance of the Central Bank of Brazil's Small-Scale Structural Model … (SSSM) as a supporting tool for the monetary policy decision process. The SSSM's CPI inflation projections accuracy for 1 to … benchmark for short run forecasts. A 'near VAR' model, with quarterly CPI inflation and output gap as the endogenous variables …

This paper develops a set of leading indicators of industrial production growth and consumer price inflation for the … inflation. Our findings provide evidence on the factors determining real activity and inflation in a period of disinflation and … normalization for the Turkish economy. -- Real activity ; inflation ; leading indicators ; out-of-sample forecasting ; combination …