In this paper, the sufficiency of superexogeneity for control causality is exploited in the case of monetary policy and real output. The superexogeneity of the formulation of monetary policy for the real output gap is tested and found to be true implying a causal link from monetary policy to the...

This study seeks to examine the stability of the Phillips Curve in Nigeria, as well as to ascertain the applicability of the popular Lucas Critique to the Phillips Curve in Nigeria. Using quarterly data from 1990Q1 to 2018Q3, the model is estimated with robust OLS that accounts for possible...

In this note, we use multivariate models estimated with Bayesian techniques and an out-ofsample approach to investigate whether money growth Granger-causes output growth in the United States. We find surprisingly strong evidence for a money-output link over the 1960-2005 period. However, further...