The concept of rational expectations has typically been assumed, without testing, in the analysis of consumer demand and market efficiency in betting markets, including betting on lottery games. Lottery games offer an excellent opportunity to test how participants process the information that is...

"We apply a novel daily time series data set of daily turnover from one of Britain's leading bookmakers to analyze potential substitution between lottery play and bookmaker betting. We find some evidence that bettors do substitute away from horse race, soccer and numbers betting when the...

No, the Fed does not appear to play politics with respect to setting the federal funds rate. We examine the federal funds spot and futures rates to infer the Fed's response to political pressure from partisan politics during election and nonelection years. We find little evidence that political...

This paper examines the response of financial markets to consumer confidence announcements during 1980-93. Several hypotheses are tested to examine the impact of consumer confidence announcements on the conditional mean and the conditional volatility of stock, bond and foreign exchange prices....

This paper examines sales patterns in the first three years of the UK National Lottery in order to estimate price elasticity of demand. Our long-run estimate is very close to the value of minus one required for revenue maximization. We find that the UK Government has succeeded in setting a...

Virtually all lottery agencies offer a variety of games to suit the tastes of players in an attempt to maximize revenue to the government. Using the UK National Lottery, which offers a variety of on-line and scratchcard games, the extent to which there is substitution or complementarity between...