probability of war in an incomplete information game. This result is strongly consistent with existing empirical analyses of the …. -- War ; conflict ; trade ; trade-conflict relationship ; interdependence ; incomplete information game ; signaling …

We develop a theory of interstate conflict in which the degree of genealogical relatedness between populations has a … to go to war with each other, even after controlling for a wide set of measures of geographic distance and other factors …

War, whether external or internal, large or small, is a costly endeavor. Loss of life, loss of close friends or family …, and the destruction of material possessions all play a part in the costs of war. The purpose of this paper is to capture …