We propose newly developed unsmoothing techniques for appraisal-based real estate returns based on a regime-switching Threshold Autoregressive (TAR) model. We show that when true returns follow a TAR process, conventional linear autoregressive technique are misspecified and underestimate true...

This paper examines the existence of excess returns in the commercial property market of Hong Kong using time series data for both valuations and transactions prices. The proposition is that if the valuation series is accurately processing transactions prices then excess returns, if they exist,...