This paper considers the extent to which fluctuations in Australian economic growth are affected by domestic and overseas economic performance. We investigate the performance of a range of non-linear models versus linear models using Bayes factors and posterior odds ratios. The posterior odds...

This paper reexamines a classic question in international economics: What is the current account response to a transitory income shock such as a temporary improvement in the terms of trade, a tranfer form abroad or unusually high production? To answer this question, we construct a world...

Extraterritorial application of national laws are regarded as an infringement of national sovereignty and against the interests of the nations affected by these actions, who frequently oppose their enforcement as a consequence. This paper examines extraterritorial application of national...

By simulating a model of the optimal level of saving in a small open economy, this paper calculates the levels of optimal national saving, investment and the current account balance for five Asian countries, Hong Kong, Japan, Singapore, Malaysia and Philippines, for the period from 1997 to 2050....

This paper explores prospects for the world economy to the year 2020 through a series of scenarios based on different assumptions about future changes in the structure of individual economies. It differs from most other medium term studies because we do not assume that each economy's variables...

The joint behavior of investment and the current account is derived as a triangular simultaneous equations model. To estimate this model for the G7 countries, we propose a full-information GLS estimator for panel data that extends Zellner-Theil three-stage least squares estimator and allows for...

We examine the current account effect of a terms-of-trade deterioration for a small country model, incorporating weakly nonseparable preference a la Shi (1994) under endogenous time preference.