This paper documents the major policy reforms to Hong Kong's Linked Exchange Rate System (LERS) that have enabled it to evolve into the highly credible, efficient, and transparent system it is today. It discusses the operating mechanism of the system in adjusting capital flows, and the role the...

This paper sheds light on the transmission mechanism of loan-to-value (LTV) policy to financial stability by providing three findings from Hong Kong. First, there is evidence that LTV cap tightening since 2009 has dampened both borrowers' leverage and credit growth, and that lower leverage has...

This paper uses the factor-augmented VAR (FAVAR) framework to study the impact on the Hong Kong economy of the diverging monetary policies by the Fed, ECB and BoJ as well as the Mainland economy slowdown. The empirical results show that changes in US monetary policy mainly affect interest...

This paper discusses how the unconventional monetary policies in advanced economies have impacted Hong Kong SAR through the financial channel. Following the 2008–09 global financial crisis, the monetary expansion in advanced economies has led to extremely loose liquidity conditions on a global...

This paper examines the effects of labor-replacing capital, which we call robots, on business cycle dynamics using a New Keynesian model with a role for both traditional and robot capital. We find that shocks to the price of robots have effects on output, employment, wages, and labor's share of...

This paper studies the relationship between macroeconomic behaviour and the monetary policy regime in Hong Kong and Singapore, using data for 1984-2004. We estimate an econometric model, comprising a Phillips curve, an IS curve and an equation for changes in the nominal effective exchange rate...

We measure the natural rate of interest of Hong Kong in a flexible VAR model. We find that the natural rate of interest of Hong Kong fell below zero after the SARS shock in 2003 and reached the lowest after the great recession in 2007-2009. Variance decomposition shows that mainland China,...

This paper examines the effects of interest rate regulation, and subsequent deregulation, on the efficacy of monetary policy and rigidity of retail bank deposit rates in Hong Kong. Using an error correction model, we find that interest rate deregulation increases the efficacy of monetary policy...

This paper discusses the potential macroeconomic implications for Hong Kong SAR of accommodative monetary policy in the United States. It shows, through model simulations, that a resumption of the credit channel in Hong Kong SAR has the potential to create inflation in both goods and asset...