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Speculative markets such as those for stocks or currencies typically have an extremely short time horizon for transactions. Yet at the same time, stock prices and exchange rates go up or down in trend curves of several years ("bull" and "bear" markets). The paper takes the dollar/euro exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011435230
technical currency trading is exclusively due to the exploitation of persistent exchange rate trends. These results hold also … most cases significantly profitable also ex ante. However, the profitability of technical currency trading based on daily …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011435249
demand pressure on currency markets since they are mostly on the same side of the market. When technical models produce …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011435250
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This paper provides an econometric analysis of the short-run impact of interest rates on the Swiss franc exchange rate covering the period January 2001 to June 2011 using daily data. Our model includes both the exchange rate of the Swiss franc against euro and dollar and uses the plausible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012614644
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Der Yen ist in der japanischen Rezession der 90er Jahre überraschend stark geblieben. Der Aufsatz untersucht die Ursachen für den hohen Yen. Er analysiert den Einfluss von Zinsen, Preisen und Währungspolitik. Danach haben reale Zinsdifferenzen allenfalls einen kurzfristigen Einfluss auf den...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010377557
In the currency wars of the 1920s and 1930s, various nations fell off the gold standard and in so doing experienced …, without much fear of retaliation, the US can initiate more limited currency warfare - as with American "Japan bashing" from … England, and the European Central Bank. So the BOJ can only be faulted as a currency belligerent if there is a further …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397234