In this paper we set up a New-Keynesian model with a heterogenous banking sector to analyze liquidity problems on the interbank market. The presence of an interbank market is essential to consider a situation where an increased liquidity supply by the central bank is only partially passed on to...

We investigate the role of consumer confidence in the transmission of monetary policy shocks from an empirical and theoretical perspective. Standard VAR based analysis suggests that an empirical measure of consumer confidence drops significantly after a monetary tightening and amplifies the...

How might central bank communication of its internal forecasts assist the conduct of monetary policy? The literature has shown that heterogeneous expectations may have destabilizing effects on aggregate dynamics. This paper analyzes through adaptive learning the policy implications of central...

This paper examines the reaction of the Romanian financial markets to the changes of monetary policies in the US during 2013. Using daily data for Bucharest Stock Exchange main equity index, EURRON exchange rate, 5 and 2 year government bond price index and 5 year government CDS (USD) price, we...

This paper aims to identify the actual objectives of monetary authorities in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) that promote an independent monetary policy. In this sense we consider the study of central banks (CBs) behavior in the Czech Republic, Poland, Romania and Hungary in establishing...

This paper introduces adaptive learning and endogenous indexation in the New-Keynesian Phillips curve and studies disinflation under inflation targeting policies. The analysis is motivated by the disinflation performance of many inflation-targeting countries, in particular the gradual Chilean...

Recent studies document the deteriorating performance of forecasting models during the Great Moderation, which conversely implies that forecastability was higher in the preceding era when the economy was unexpectedly volatile. We explain this phenomenon in the context of equilibrium...

Most macroeconomic models, such as the IS-LM, assume equilibrium in money markets. Since money demand is an inverse function of velocity, an inaccurate estimate of velocity will lead to errors in calculating the monetary and general equilibria. This note suggests a way to gauge the potential...

Can monetary or fiscal policy stabilize expectations in a liquidity trap? We study expectation formation near the zero lower bound using a learning-to-forecast laboratory experiment. Monetary policy targets inflation around a constant or state-dependent target. Subjects’ expectations...

In this paper we provide the analysis of number of monetary policy issues on which the academic economists, the expert community and the authorities do not have common point of view. We suggest arguments supporting the Bank of Russia's position regarding the interpretation of current economic...