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A prominent class of nonlinear time series models are threshold autoregressive models. Recently work by Kapetanios (2000) has shown in a Monte Carlo setting that the superconsistency property of the threshold parameter estimates does not translate to superior performance in small samples....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076262
nonlinear correlation structure is modelled nonparametrically using TSMARS, a time series version of Friedman's extended … Fraser River data than a corresponding linear periodic AR model. Keywods: Nonlinearity, periodic correlation, streamflows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014115255
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Background Inflation is the industrious and non-stop ascent in the overall prices of any given commodity in an economy. During the global food crisis, Ethiopia experienced an unprecedented increase in inflation ranked the highest in Africa. It is among the most macroeconomic variable described...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014381931
, the paper analyzes the returns correlation, serial correlation and heteroscedasticity on the NSE All-share Index, Banking … descriptive statistics, autocorrelation function (ACF) and Ljung-Box Q (LB-Q) statistics, as well as the autoregressive … from the ACF and LB-Q statistics indicate evidence of serial correlation in majority of the sectors’ returns. Furthermore …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011862130
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-known that this averaging introduces spurious autocorrelation effectsin the first differences of the series. It isexactly this … this autocorrelation component from theaveraged series. In addition we investigate thepotential effect of averaging on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011303868
We derive computationally simple and intuitive score tests of neglected serial correlation in unobserved component …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011458802
We propose autocorrelation-robust asymptotic variances of the Brier score and Brier skill score, which are generally … applicable in circumstances with weak serial correlation. An empirical application in macroeconomics underscores the importance … of taking care of serial correlation. We find that the conventional variances are too conservative to account for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010503468