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Today we live in a post-truth and highly digitalized era characterized by a flow of (mis-) information around the world. Identifying the impact of this information on stock markets and forecasting stock returns and volatilities has become a much more difficult task, perhaps almost impossible....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012039605
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012260477
/methodology/approach - The authors use standard statistical tools that include Johansen cointegration test, linearity, normality tests …, cointegration regression, Granger causality and vector error correction model. Findings - The results of panel Johansen … cointegration analysis show that cointegration exists between the stock prices, the changes in stock prices due to inflation rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012260161
"This paper examines the association between inflation, monetary policy and U.S. stock market conditions during the second half of the 20th century. We estimate a latent variable VAR to examine how macroeconomic and policy shocks affect the condition of the stock market. Further, we examine the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003741414
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003724838
Historical data and model simulations support the following conclusion. Inflation is low during stock market booms, so that an interest rate rule that is too narrowly focused on inflation destabilizes asset markets and the broader economy. Adjustments to the interest rate rule can remove this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137616
Historical data and model simulations support the following conclusion. Inflation is low during stock market booms, so that an interest rate rule that is too narrowly focused on inflation destabilizes asset markets and the broader economy. Adjustments to the interest rate rule can remove this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013069208
This paper examines the association between inflation, monetary policy and U.S. stock market conditions during the second half of the 20th century. We estimate a latent variable VAR to examine how macroeconomic and policy shocks affect the condition of the stock market. Further, we examine the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012771830
Historical data and model simulations support the following conclusion. Inflation is low during stock market booms, so that an interest rate rule that is too narrowly focused on inflation destabilizes asset markets and the broader economy. Adjustments to the interest rate rule can remove this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462254
This paper examines the association between inflation, monetary policy and U.S. stock market conditions during the second half of the 20th century. We estimate a latent variable VAR to examine how macroeconomic and policy shocks affect the condition of the stock market. Further, we examine the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464627