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of monetary policy. We use a stylized macro model of Howitt (1992) to investigate inflation dynamics under alternative … interest rate in response to inflation. In particular, if the monetary authority only responds weakly to inflation, a … cumulative process with rising inflation is likely. On the other hand, a Taylor interest rate rule that sets the interest rate …
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This paper documents multivariate forecast disagreement among professional forecasters of the Euro area economy and discusses implications for models of heterogeneous expectation formation. Disagreement varies over time and is strongly counter-cyclical. Disagreement is positively correlated with...
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