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We consider the nonstationary fractional model dXt = "t with "t i.i.d.(0;2) and d 1/2. We derive an analytical expression for the main term of the asymptotic bias of the maximum likelihood estimator of d conditional on initial values, and we discuss the role of the initial values for the bias....
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We suggest improved tests for cointegration rank in the vector au- toregressive (VAR) model and develop asymptotic distribution theory and local power results. The tests are (quasi-)likelihood ratio tests based on a Gaussian likelihood, but of course the asymptotic results apply more generally....
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In a recent paper Hualde and Robinson (2011) establish consistency and asymptotic normality for conditional sum-of-squares estimators, which are equivalent to conditional quasi-maximum likelihood estimators, in parametric fractional time series models driven by conditionally homoskedastic...
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In this paper we apply the recently developed fractionally cointegrated vector autoregressive (FCVAR) model to analyze price discovery in the spot and futures markets for five non-ferrous metals (aluminium, copper, lead, nickel, and zinc). The FCVAR model allows for long memory (fractional...
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