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supplemented by the country notes of other AIECE institutes from all over Europe. The authors analyze the economic situation in the … in Central and Eastern Europe.¤ In Western Europe, growth is forecast to continue at rates slightly above 2.5 percent … stance in the countries outside EMU is considered more or less adequate. This year, demand in Western Europe will be …
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This paper reinterprets Maganelli's (2009) idea of "Forecasting with Judgment" to obtain a dynamic algorithm for combining survey data and time series models for macroeconomic forecasting. Unlike existing combination approaches which typically assign weights to alternative forecasts, the...
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This paper compares the mixed-data sampling (MIDAS) and mixed-frequency VAR (MF-VAR) approaches to model speci.cation in the presence of mixed-frequency data, e.g., monthly and quarterly series. MIDAS leads to parsimonious models based on exponential lag polynomials for the coeØ cients, whereas...
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