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In this work a modification of the Box-Tiao methodology for the assessment of the impact of external events on time series is proposed as an alternative statistical approach of assessing the predictive performance of the moving average trading rule in financial markets. With the proposed...
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This work focuses on the sensitivity of the performance of the moving average (MA) trading rule of technical analysis to changes in the MA length employed. Empirical analysis of daily data from NYSE, the Vienna Stock Exchange (VSE) and the Athens Stock Exchange (ASE) reveal high variability of...
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