We have received a number of queries recently from market researchers concerning our methods in order to determine the underlying wage process, with particular regard to the correction of whitening. The whitening estimation methods we have developed have been described in outline in the boxed...

Over the last decade, the microstructure approach to exchange rates has become very popular. The underlying idea of this approach is that the order flows at different levels of aggregation contain valuable information to explain exchange rate movements. The bulk of empirical literature has...

The stock price is assumed to follow a jump-diffusion process which may exhibit time-varying volatilities. An econometric technique is then developed for this model and applied to high-frequency time series of stock prices that are subject to microstructure noises. Our method is based on first...

To estimate cell probabilities for ordered sparse contingency tables several smooth- ing techniques have been investigated. It has been recognized that nonparametric smoothing methods provide estimators of cell probabilities that have better performance than the pure frequency estimators. With...

Confidence intervals and tests for the location parameter are considered for time series generated by FEXP models. Since these tests mainly depend on the unknown fractional differencing parameter d, the distribution of d plays a major role. An exact closed form expression for the asymptotic...

The problem of predicting 0-1-events is considered under general conditions, including stationary processes with short and long memory as well as processes with changing distribution patterns. Nonparametric estimates of the probability function and prediction intervals are obtained.

This paper discusses two graphical methods for the investigation of local association of two continuous random variables. Often, scalar dependence measures, such as correlation, cannot reflect the complex dependence structure of two variables. However, dependence graphs have the potential to...

We study the optimal choice of quasi-likelihoods for nearly integrated,possibly non-normal, autoregressive models. It turns out that the two mostnatural candidate criteria, minimum Mean Squared Error (MSE) and maximumpower against the unit root null, give rise to different...

We prove that the probability distribution of Hill's estimator can be betterapproximated by a series of appropriate gamma distributions than by the limitingnormal distribution.

Large data sets in finance with millions of observations have becomewidely available. Such data sets enable the construction of reliablesemi-parametric estimates of the risk associated with extreme pricemovements. Our approach is based on semi-parametric statisticalextreme value analysis, and...