The authors examine whether economic growth is generated endogenously or exogenously, and estimate the externality effects due to private and public capital respectively. Applying a multivariate stochastic cointegration method to U.S. data, they find that the evidence is unfavorable to the...

A currency attack fails on its own when the speculator suffers from her financial problem. This paper extends the existing models and argues that the monetary authority?s willingness to peg and the speculator?s cost of attack are private information. Our model thus accounts for the duration of...

Since the seminal work by Engle and Russell, (1998), numerous studies have applied their standard/linear ACD(m,q) model (autoregressive conditional duration model of orders m and q) to fit the irregular spaced transaction data. Recently, Araichi et al. (2013) also applied the ACD model to claims...

We show that Akaike’s Information Criterion (AIC) and its variants are asymptotically efficient in integrated autoregressive processes of infinite order (AR(∞)). This result, together with its stationary counterpart established previously in the literature, ensures that AIC can ultimately...

This paper develops an empirical framework to determine if the Asian currency crisis was contagious, and if so, whether the contagion was warranted or unwarranted. By applying a monetary-portfolio model to monthly data for 1991 - 1998, our results show that short-run variations in exchange rates...

This paper considers the short- and long-memory linear processes with GARCH (1,1) noises. The functional limit distributions of the partial sum and the sample autocovariances are derived when the tail index α is in (0,2), equal to 2, and in (2,∞), respectively. The partial sum weakly...