This paper considers tariff phase-outs in multilateral and preferential agreements. The paper finds that early GATT rounds primarily were over bindings of existing rates and that it was not until the 1962-67 Kennedy Round's 50% reduction in manufactured goods tariffs that time paths of tariff...

We examine the causal effect of tariff uncertainty on firms’ cost of debt. Our tests exploit a unique trade policy that reduces tariff uncertainty on Chinese imports without affecting the actual tariff rate: the U.S.-China Permanent Normal Trade Relations (PNTR). We find a significant drop in...

We provide a quantitative analysis of the distributional effects of the 2018 increase in tariffs by the U.S. and its major trading partners. We build a trade model with incomplete asset markets and households that are heterogeneous in their age, income, wealth and labor skill. When tariff...

On 24th January 2022, the Chair of AOA announced the need to maintain the good momentum of negotiations and make the best use of the extra time before the next Ministerial Conference begins. In this paper, we examine some of the so-called ‘good momentums’ and the manner these good momentums...

This paper proposes a theory that predicts low levels of protection during periods of "normal" trade volume coupled with episodes of "special" protection when trade volumes surge. This dynamic pattern of protection emerges from a model in which countries choose levels of protection in a repeated...

This research is interested to observe from a multi-dimensional perspective the consumption effects (domestic consumption), production effects (domestic production), trade effects (imports), and revenue (government) under different tariffs simultaneously. We introduce a new model is entitled...