China is on the eve of a demographic shift that will have profound consequences on its economic and social landscape …, along with anecdotes of rapidly rising migrant wages and episodic labor shortages, has raised questions about whether China … labor shortage economy. Crossing this threshold will have far-reaching implications for both China and the rest of the world …

China is undergoing a particularly fast demographic transition. Accelerated through decades of political restrictions … its one-child policy. Will this policy shift succeed? Our study simulates China's old-age dependency ratio and total … life expectancy. It shows that both ratios would substantially increase even in the best case. Therefore, China urgently …