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and a naive no change model. The data pertains to the quarterly inflation rate in Turkey for the period of 1987-2001. The …The aim of this paper is to investigate the performance of Phillips curve to forecast inflation in a high inflation … emerging market country by taking Turkey as a case. For this purpose we compare the forecasting performance of Phillips curve …
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year ahead inflation. In addition, it turns out that the performance of MDS model forecasting is competitive in comparison … with other models found to be useful in the inflation forecasting literature. …
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